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The aim of this paper is to consider how well the PNGDSP 2010‐2030 contributes to the target of reducing emissions to 70 per cent of 2010 levels by 2030. The PNG Development Strategic Plan 2010‐2030 (PNGDSP) is the Government's strategy for sustainable development to 2030. Although a small developing country, Papua New Guinea is conscious of its carbon footprint.

The authors utilise PNGGEM, a computable general equilibrium model of the PNG economy. PNGGEM simulations for the PNGDSP are used to examine the emissions path of PNG under the PNGDSP.

The findings reveal that implementing the PNGDSP would make substantial progress in reducing PNG's emissions in the 20 years to 2030. However, a strong commitment to clean, renewable energy sources will be required to remain below the emissions target in the longer term.

Promoting renewable energy in place of diesel for electricity generation, transport and industries could be an effective approach to achieve development that combines economic progress with low growth in emission.

The paper presents the assessment of meeting the target of reducing emissions to 70 per cent of 2010 levels by 2030 under the development strategies of the PNGDSP while addressing sustainable development and economic progress.